Master the counter-intuitive momentum trading strategy that delivered explosive returns: 566% on VBL, 13.79% on Bharti Airtel while markets stayed flat. Learn the 3-step system for buying all-time highs and riding Stage 2 momentum.
All-Time High breakouts + Stage 2 analysis + 200-day EMA exits
566% returns on VBL, 13.79% on Bharti Airtel during flat markets
Complete implementation guide with screener settings and examples
Watch the complete walkthrough of the momentum breakout strategy with live examples, screening techniques, and real portfolio results from actual trades.
Listen to the comprehensive analysis of momentum trading psychology, risk management, and real-world implementation challenges with practical solutions.
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Test your understanding with 38 comprehensive questions covering every aspect of the momentum breakout strategy. Perfect for exam prep or knowledge retention.
Since the market peak in September 2024, the Nifty 50 index has delivered frustrating negative returns. For investors who allocated their capital at that point, their portfolios show -2.95% returns today.
If your portfolio feels stagnant or volatile, you're experiencing what most index investors face. The market has been sidewaysโup one month, down the next, consolidating for weeks. It's exhausting and demoralizing.
Sept 2024 - Present
Same Period
The secret isn't about timing the market; it's about finding stocks with their own powerful momentum, independent of the index. These aren't obscure small-caps; Bharti Airtel is a Nifty 50 giant itself.
This is the power of momentum trading. While traditional investors focus on "value" and "buying the dip," momentum traders understand a fundamental truth: stocks in motion tend to stay in motion.
Traditional wisdom teaches us to "buy low, sell high." But the real money is made by doing the opposite. Momentum traders buy high and sell even higher.
Picture this: A stock is at its all-time high. The price has never been higher in its entire history. Do you buy it?
Most investors instinctively say no. They think: "This stock is too expensive. It's at the peak. It must come down." But this fear is exactly what prevents 90% of investors from capturing explosive gains.
"Bhav Bhagwan Che - Price is King. When a stock is in momentum, it will continue to go up. It can go up for yearsโnot weeks, not months, but years. This is what separates momentum stocks from average stocks."
| Factor | Traditional View: "Buy Low" | Momentum View: "Buy at ATH" |
|---|---|---|
| What You're Buying | A falling knife. Every previous buyer is underwater and waiting to sell. | A rocket ship. Everyone who ever bought the stock is in profit. |
| Overhead Resistance | Heavy selling pressure from bag holders at every level | Zero. There's no one above you to sell into strength. |
| Market Psychology | Fighting against desperate, trapped sellers | Riding with confident, profitable buyers |
| Path Forward | Must battle through multiple resistance zones | Clear skies aheadโpath of least resistance is UP |
If you're unwilling to ever buy at an all-time high, you can never capture stocks that deliver 100%, 200%, or 500%+ returns. Because for a stock to produce massive returns, it must, by definition, continuously make new all-time highs throughout its journey.
Stock trades below its 200-day moving average, showing it was previously out of favor and weak.
Within a relatively short period, the stock recovers with tremendous force and power.
It breaks its previous All-Time High with conviction. This is our entry signal.
This pattern identifies a fundamental transformation. A company that was previously weak has suddenly become incredibly strong. We enter at the exact moment this strength is confirmed by the market.
The 200-day Exponential Moving Average is simply the weighted average closing price of a stock over the last 200 trading days. It represents the long-term trend and sentiment.
Stock above the line? Long-term uptrend. We hold with confidence.
Stock below the line? Long-term downtrend. We avoid or exit.
Our entry trigger: All-Time High breakout while stock is recovering toward or crossing above 200-day EMA.
Our exit is simple: We sell only when the price closes back below the 200-day EMA line.
Entry to Exit: ~4 Years | Held Through Russia-Ukraine War, Global Inflation, Multiple Market Corrections
From entry to exit, this position weathered the Russia-Ukraine war, global inflation crisis, and multiple market corrections. The 200-day EMA system never gave a false exit signal during the entire 4-year run.
Nifty 50 Blue-Chip Giant
Same Period Performance
Consistent pattern across market caps
This isn't just for risky small-caps. The pattern appears consistently in market leaders and Nifty 50 companies. The psychology is universalโwhen strong companies break to new highs, they often continue much higher. These are calculated entries into proven winners, not speculative bets.
ATH Breakout Scanner: Use free "Near ATH" screeners to generate candidate lists
Stage 2 Trend Filter: Cross-reference with Stage 2 screeners for momentum confirmation
Recent IPO Tracker: Monitor new listings for post-listing ATH breakout setups
These free tools handle 80% of the screening work automatically.
TradingView Free: Professional charting platform with 200-day EMA indicator
Pattern Recognition: Look for the 3-step sequence: Dip โ Recovery โ ATH Breakout
Volume Confirmation: Ensure breakouts occur with above-average trading volume
Complete chart analysis takes under 60 seconds per stock once you know what to look for.
These aren't historical backtests. These are live examples of established companies setting up with our exact pattern right now. The opportunity exists in real-time.
Status: Recently confirmed breakout
Pattern: Dipped below 200-day EMA โ Rapid recovery โ ATH breakout confirmed with volume
Analysis: Already delivering positive returns post-breakout. Classic Stage 2 momentum in progress.
Status: Early in potential momentum run
Pattern: Recent breakout candles showing initial momentum above key resistance
Analysis: Strong recovery from 200-day EMA with room to run in Stage 2 advance.
Status: Watch list candidate - approaching breakout
Pattern: Strong recovery from below 200-day EMA, building toward ATH resistance
Analysis: Showing "supreme momentum" characteristics, not yet confirmed but worth monitoring closely.
These examples demonstrate pattern recognition in action. Markets change rapidly, and by the time you read this, conditions may be different. Always conduct your own current analysis before making any investment decisions. The goal is teaching you to recognize these setups independently.
Legendary trader Stan Weinstein discovered that every stock moves through four distinct stages. By focusing our momentum strategy on only one stage, we dramatically increase our success rate.
Basing/sleeping phase. Stock moves sideways with no clear direction. "Do not disturb."
The advancing phase. Clear uptrend begins, delivering strong returns to patient holders.
Distribution/topping phase. Stock stops advancing and moves sideways after major run-up.
The declining phase. Clear downtrend that destroys portfolio value.
We only take Momentum Breakout signals when a stock is entering or confirming Stage 2. This is where the magic happens.
By combining free Stage 2 screeners with ATH breakout filters, we eliminate noise and focus only on the strongest candidates preparing for explosive moves. This is how you find A+ setups.
| Filter Step | Purpose | Typical Results |
|---|---|---|
| Filter 1 | "Near All-Time High" Screener | ~60-80 Potential Candidates |
| Filter 2 | "Stage 2 Trend" Verification | 5-15 High-Probability Setups |
| Manual Review | Chart pattern confirmation | 2-5 A+ Opportunities |
Smart momentum traders don't gamble on IPO listings. Instead, they wait patiently. The most explosive moves often happen when a newly listed company breaks its initial high for the first time after consolidation.
Unlike established companies with historical resistance levels, IPO breakouts offer the ultimate "blue sky" scenario. No trapped sellers above, no overhead supply, just pure momentum potential.
In just 3 weeks after IPO high breakout
In just 2 weeks after confirmation
Average gains within 1-3 months
The recommended portfolio approach is holding 7-10 momentum trades simultaneously. This provides adequate diversification without diluting the impact of your best performers.
Exit the entire position when the stock's price closes below the 200-day moving average line. No exceptions, no hoping, no waiting for "just one more day." This rule protects your capital and preserves profits.
When you enter near an ATH breakout with our system:
Historical examples show this strategy can deliver 50-500%+ returns while typically risking 10-20%. The VBL example risked one unit to make nearly six unitsโa 6:1 reward-to-risk ratio over the holding period.
While the Nifty 50 delivered -2.95% since September 2024, momentum stocks like Bharti Airtel gained +13.79% in the same period. The difference isn't luckโit's having a systematic approach to identifying stocks entering Stage 2 with confirmed ATH breakouts.
"The more simple a trading method is, the more effective it tends to be. Complexity is the enemy of execution."
You now understand the complete momentum breakout system:
Bhav Bhagwan Che - Price is King. When a stock enters true momentum, it can continue rising for months or even years. This phenomenon separates momentum stocks from average stocks and creates the foundation for wealth-building returns.
The market leaves clear fingerprints. This pattern appears repeatedly in high-quality companies across all sectors and market caps. You can now see these fingerprints too.
Start building your first momentum watchlist this weekend. The tools are free, the strategy is proven, and the next opportunity is forming right now.
Use Finmagine's comprehensive analysis framework to find momentum breakout candidates:
โก Live Momentum Tracker Pro ๐ Advanced Stock Screener ๐ Company Analysis ๐ Quality Rankings ๐ฆ Banking Sector FocusMaster advanced market analysis and portfolio construction:
๐ Our Research Framework ๐ผ Portfolio StrategyThe tools are free, the strategy is proven, and the next momentum breakout opportunity is forming right now. Begin your systematic approach to capturing explosive stock movements.
Educational Purpose Only:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized financial advice. All momentum trading strategies carry significant risk, including potential loss of principal. The strategies and examples mentioned (such as Varun Beverages +566%, M&M +94%, Bharti Airtel +13.79%) represent historical performance that does not guarantee future results.
Trading Risk Warning:
Momentum trading involves buying stocks at or near all-time highs, which can be highly volatile and risky. Market conditions change rapidly, and what worked historically may not work in the future. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Every trading strategy experiences both profits and losses.
Technical Analysis Limitations:
Technical indicators like the 200-day EMA and Stage Analysis are tools, not guarantees. They can generate false signals. No strategy wins 100% of the time. The ATH breakout method can result in immediate losses if momentum fails to sustain.
Not Investment Recommendations:
Specific stocks mentioned (Bharti Airtel, Shriram Finance, Bank of India, AU Small Finance Bank, VBL, etc.) are examples for educational illustration only. They are not recommendations to buy or sell securities. Market conditions for these stocks may have changed significantly since publication.
Stage Analysis Disclaimer:
Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis is a framework for understanding stock cycles, but stages can change rapidly and without warning. A stock appearing to be in Stage 2 may quickly enter Stage 3 or Stage 4, resulting in significant losses.
Position Sizing Warning:
The recommended 7-10 position portfolio approach may not be suitable for all investors. Concentration risk can amplify losses. Never invest more than you can afford to lose, and always maintain adequate emergency funds outside your trading capital.
Consult a Professional:
Before implementing any momentum trading strategy, consult with a qualified, SEBI-registered financial advisor who understands your complete financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.
No Warranty:
Finmagine makes no warranties about the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. Any action you take based on the information presented is strictly at your own risk and responsibility.
Ready to understand the quantitative engine behind momentum scoring? Explore the 8-factor algorithm that powers our momentum analysis system.
๐ Inside the Momentum Scoring Algorithm โ