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Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
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$3.2B
Market Cap
10.4
P/E
4.22
PEG
24.7%
ROCE
26.6%
ROE
0.14
D/E
76.9%
OPM
-1.0%
% from 52W High
75
α RS
🔍 BSM is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 15 of 39 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Energy in the Leading quadrant with the trail still strengthening, and RS Rating is 75. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG RS Rating
Sources
Conviction 15/39 · Energy in Leading quadrant · RS Rating 75
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for BSM including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Black Stone Minerals, L.P., together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages oil and natural gas mineral interests. It owns mineral interests in approximately 16.9 million gross acres, nonparticipating royalty interests in 1.8 million gross acres, and overriding royalty interests in 1.6 million gross acres located in 41 states in the United States. The company was founded in 1876 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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📊 MIXED Q1 production 35.9 MBOE/d (up 16% QoQ), net income $13.3M, EBITDA $87M
Revenue & Profitability
Net income for Q1 2026 was $13.3 million, adjusted EBITDA $87 million. Distributable cash flow was $76.5 million, supporting a distribution of $0.30 per unit (1.2x coverage). Production increased 16% from the prior quarter.
Outlook
Management has a constructive long-term view on natural gas, citing structural demand growth from LNG exports, data center load growth, and U.S. industrial activity. They also note potential incremental demand from Middle East supply disruptions. 2026 is expected to be a year of production growth versus 2025.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include increased activity in the Haynesville and Shelby Trough (13 active rigs across multiple operators), continued Permian leasing, and a new marketing project for ~300,000 gross acres in the Shelby Trough expansion area. Development agreements with Adamas, Caturus, Revenant, and others are progressing.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
During Q1 2026, the company acquired $12 million of mineral and royalty acreage, bringing total deployment under the Haynesville Expansion Acquisition Program to over $250 million since its 2023 inception. No specific CapEx guidance was provided.
Margins
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Key Risks
A loss of well control incident on one of Revenant's two spud wells is under investigation, with a potential impact on their first-year development program. Other risks include commodity price volatility (weather-driven gas price swings and geopolitical oil price movements) and operator reactions to pricing.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-04
Second quarter results featured strong oil production and higher prices, offsetting lower Haynesville gas volumes. Distribution increased 7% with 1.18x coverage, supported by robust cash flow and ongoing development. Nearly $40 million in acquisitions and new wells underpin a positive outlook.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-05
Strong Q1 results featured 16% sequential production growth, robust financials, and continued expansion in Haynesville and Shelby Trough. Management maintained 2026 guidance and remains optimistic despite commodity volatility and a well control incident under investigation.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-24
Strong commercial milestones and acquisitions in 2025 set the stage for material production growth in 2026, with robust development in the Shelby Trough, Haynesville, and Permian. Q4 net income was $72.2M, adjusted EBITDA $76.7M, and distribution coverage remains solid.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-04
Third quarter saw 5% sequential production growth, $91.7M net income, and strong Permian volumes. Ongoing acquisitions and development agreements in the Shelby Trough and Permian support a positive long-term outlook, with robust cash flow coverage and a constructive view on natural gas demand.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-05
Q2 saw $120M net income and $84.2M adjusted EBITDA, with production averaging 34,600 BOE/day. Slower 2025 gas growth led to a $0.30/unit distribution, but new development agreements and acquisitions set up for higher production and distributions in 2026.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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