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Domino's Pizza, Inc.
S&P 500
$10.6B
Market Cap
24.2
P/E
2.32
PEG
114.8%
ROCE
-15.3%
ROE
-1.29
D/E
19.3%
OPM
-26.9%
% from 52W High
25
α RS
🔍 DPZ is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 10 of 39 tracked screener presets and debt_free_growers preset's Backtest win rate is 54.4% over 90 days. Net: Partial signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction Backtest
Sources
Conviction 10/39 · Backtest win rate 54.4%
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for DPZ including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
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Average
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By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a pizza company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. It offers pizzas under the Domino's brand name through company-owned and franchised stores. The company also provides bread products, wings, boneless chicken, pastas, oven-baked sandwiches, soft drink products and desserts. In addition, it offers parmesan stuffed crust pizza; spicy chicken bacon ranch specialty pizza; and garlic, and cinnamon bread bites, as well as croissant, chocolate volcano, and chicken burst pizzas. Domino's Pizza, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is based in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 351.2K $126.0M 0.20% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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🎙 Management Tone Mixed ↓ Deteriorating 3 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Domino's reported 0.9% U.S. same-store sales growth in Q1 2026.
Revenue & Profitability
Income from operations increased 4.2% in Q1, excluding foreign currency and gain on sale of corporate aircraft. Global retail sales (ex-FX) grew 3.4%. The company repurchased $170 million in shares through April 21, 2026. For 2026, management expects operating income growth of mid- to high-single digits.
Outlook
Management expects the QSR pizza category to grow 1%-2% annually, consistent with historical trends. For 2026, U.S. same-store sales are expected to be positive low single digits, and international same-store sales are also expected to be low single digits, despite macro and geopolitical uncertainty. The long-term algorithm through 2028 remains unchanged.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include expanding carryout market share (currently 20% vs 33% in delivery), aggregator partnerships, and store growth (175+ U.S. and 800 international net new stores planned in 2026). Product innovation, particularly in pizza, is expected to drive second-half performance. Competitor store closures are seen as a tailwind for market share gains.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
Operating margins are expected to expand at the company level in 2026, supported by positive supply chain margins and gross profit dollar growth. Company-owned store margins are less material due to a small portfolio, but overall cost pressures include labor, food basket, and insurance. The company expects to manage these while driving profit growth.
Key Risks
Key risks include ongoing macro uncertainty with consumer sentiment at COVID-era lows, inflation pressuring purchase decisions, adverse weather impacts, increased competitive activity, and geopolitical instability affecting international markets. Gas price increases could further pressure consumer disposable income. The turnaround of Domino's Pizza Enterprises remains a specific risk.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (4 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (4)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-20
Order count growth drove market share gains in both delivery and carryout, offsetting a modest same-store sales increase due to lower average ticket. Guidance remains for low single-digit comp growth and mid-single-digit global retail sales growth, with a new product launch expected to boost incremental orders.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-27
Q1 delivered modest same-store sales growth and market share gains amid macro and competitive pressures. Guidance for 2026 was lowered to low single-digit same-store sales growth, with continued focus on innovation, operational improvements, and disciplined capital allocation.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-23
Strong 2025 results included 3% U.S. same-store sales growth, 8%+ operating profit growth, and robust net store expansion. 2026 guidance calls for 6% global retail sales growth, 3% U.S. comps, and continued international expansion, despite macro and DPE headwinds.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-21
Q2 saw strong U.S. and international sales growth, driven by new product launches and aggregator partnerships. Operating income rose 14.9% (ex-FX), with robust carryout and delivery comps. 2025 guidance remains positive, with continued market share gains expected.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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