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Ellington Financial Inc.
🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High View all →
$1.3B
Market Cap
11.4
P/E
0.46
PEG
0.9%
ROCE
8.7%
ROE
9.10
D/E
48.8%
OPM
-5.1%
% from 52W High
52
α RS
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About

Ellington Financial Inc., through its subsidiary, Ellington Financial Operating Partnership LLC, acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Longbridge. The company acquires and manages residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) backed by prime jumbo, Alt-A, non-QM, manufactured housing, subprime residential, and single-family-rental mortgage loans; RMBS for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the U.S. government agency or the U.S. government-sponsored entity; residential and commercial mortgage loans; residential mortgage-backed securities; commercial mortgage-backed securities; consumer loans and asset-backed securities backed by consumer loans; investments referencing mortgage servicing rights on traditional forward mortgage loans; collateralized loan obligations; non-mortgage- and mortgage-related derivatives; debt and equity investments in loan origination companies; and other strategic investments. It also offers reverse mortgage loans, including associated financial assets, financing, hedging, and allocated expenses. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust (REIT) for federal income tax purposes that intends to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders. Ellington Financial Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Old Greenwich, Connecticut.

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📊 MIXED EFC Q1 2026: GAAP net income $0.78, ADE $0.55, book value up 3%
Revenue & Profitability
GAAP net income was $0.78 per common share on a fully mark-to-market basis, with adjusted distributable earnings (ADE) of $0.55 per share. Book value per share rose 3% from $13.16 to $13.56. ADE exceeded the quarterly dividend of $0.39 by a wide margin, and management raised forward ADE guidance to approximately $0.45 per share. The portfolio grew 4% sequentially, and Longbridge's net income more than doubled from the prior quarter.
Outlook
Management sees the non-agency mortgage market growing as the GSE footprint shrinks, driven by G-fees and LLPAs that are disconnected from historical losses. Demographic tailwinds from aging baby boomers support the reverse mortgage sector. However, home price appreciation (HPA) was at its weakest in a decade in 2025, which could pressure borrowers facing income disruption. Higher energy prices may reduce disposable income for lower-end consumers, a risk management is monitoring closely.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include Longbridge, which originated $550 million in loans in Q1 2026 (up 52% year-over-year), and the non-QM and closed-end second lien strategies. Agency-eligible loans are highlighted as a key growth area, benefiting from the pullback of GSEs. The securitization platform's increased scale (average deal size nearly doubled to $508 million) improves execution economics and speeds up the conversion of loans into high-yielding retained tranches.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call, but management noted ongoing investments in technology at Longbridge, including an AI product for underwriting guidelines access, which improves operational efficiency. No specific CapEx guidance was provided.
Margins
ADE per share increased to $0.55, and forward guidance was raised to $0.45, well above the dividend. Net interest income in the credit portfolio continues to grow as the portfolio expands. Longbridge's origination cost ratios declined with higher volumes, and sub-servicing costs fell due to increased competition. Gain on sale margins in non-QM and reverse mortgage were healthy in the quarter.
Key Risks
Key risks flagged include credit spread widening, which could impact book value (e.g., an estimated $0.13 negative effect in April from liability marks). Weak HPA may reduce borrowers' ability to sell homes to pay off mortgages. Higher energy prices could pressure lower-income renters and borrowers. Additionally, the ongoing uncertain macroeconomic environment and inflation may affect Fed policy and interest rates.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-07
Strong GAAP and ADE earnings exceeded dividends, with robust loan origination, securitization, and credit performance driving book value growth. Longbridge originations surged 38% year-over-year, and the company is expanding special servicing and technology investments. Continued focus on credit, risk management, and diversified funding supports a positive outlook.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-06
Q1 2026 saw strong net income, ADE, and book value growth, with Longbridge and securitization platforms driving record results. Portfolio quality remained high, leverage stable, and capital costs reduced through strategic equity actions.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-26
Q4 2025 saw strong earnings, portfolio growth, and enhanced balance sheet resilience, with ADE of $0.47 per share and a 20% year-over-year portfolio increase. Strategic initiatives included a $400M unsecured notes offering, redemption of high-cost preferred stock, and acquisition of a mortgage servicer.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-06
Third quarter results featured record ADE, strong portfolio growth, and robust securitization activity. The shift to long-term unsecured financing and continued credit discipline enhanced balance sheet resilience and earnings outlook.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-08
Q2 saw robust earnings, higher book value, and strong contributions from loan origination and securitization activities. Liquidity and leverage remain conservative, with new products and technology driving growth. Outlook is positive for continued dividend coverage and book value gains.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

Not SEC-Registered:
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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

Forward-Looking Statements:
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