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Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.
NYSE: ESRT Real Estate IT 🔎 Screen
$723M
Market Cap
26.1
P/E
5.99
PEG
3.1%
ROCE
4.1%
ROE
1.32
D/E
17.7%
OPM
-45.2%
% from 52W High
15
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for ESRT including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. is a NYC-focused REIT that owns and operates a portfolio of well-leased, top of tier, modernized, amenitized, and well-located office, retail, and multifamily assets. The Company is a recognized leader in energy efficiency and indoor environmental quality. As of June 30, 2026, ESRT’s portfolio is comprised of approximately 7.5 million rentable square feet of office space, 0.8 million rentable square feet of retail space and 743 residential units. Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. was established on July 29, 2011, and was incorporated in 2011 in Maryland and is based in New York.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding ESRT
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 363.7K $1.9M 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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📊 MIXED ESRT: Core FFO $0.20, office 93% leased, observatory NOI $10.6M in Q1 2026.
Revenue & Profitability
Core FFO was $0.20 per diluted share for Q1 2026. Same-store property cash NOI increased 5.5% year-over-year, or 1.3% adjusted for non-recurring items (lease modification revenue and insurance recoveries). Core FAD was approximately $33 million, up from $1 million in Q1 2025 and $31 million in Q4 2025. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA stood at 6.3 times.
Outlook
Management sees a bifurcated Manhattan office market: demand concentrates in high-quality, modernized, transit-oriented buildings. ESRT's portfolio is in the 'have' category. The observatory faces headwinds from reduced international tourism and geopolitical tensions, but 85% of annual NOI typically comes after Q1, with 60% in the second half. The company expects occupancy gains for the full year (90-92% guidance).
Growth Drivers
Growth is driven by office leasing (280,000 sq ft in negotiation, 19th consecutive quarter of positive mark-to-market spreads), retail expansion on N 6th St, and observatory performance. The observatory focuses on domestic and direct sales to support higher revenue per visitor. Leases at 130 Mercer achieved rents in the high $90s per sq ft, ahead of planned capital improvements.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
FAD CapEx in Q1 2026 was approximately $22 million, down significantly from $53 million in Q1 2025 due to reduced spend after prior lease-up activity. The company completed $184 million of financings year-to-date, including a $130 million private placement at 5.99% and a $53.5 million mortgage at 5.3%. There are no unaddressed debt maturities until January 2028.
Margins
Observatory operating margins are strong, with low capital intensity and dynamic pricing mitigating inflation. Revenue per capita increased approximately 1% year-over-year (excluding gift shop license fees). Office lease spreads were positive for the 19th consecutive quarter (6.8% mark-to-market in Manhattan office). The company manages expenses tightly, with observatory NOI impacted by the timing of gift shop revenue shifts.
Key Risks
Key risks highlighted include macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions affecting international tourism, reduced travel to the U.S., disruptions in aviation fuel and gasoline that impact visitor demand, and the potential for tariff-related headwinds. The observatory's Q1 performance reflects weaker international visitation, and management notes that the environment presents a wide range of possible adverse outcomes.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-30
Strong leasing and disciplined capital allocation drove solid Q2 results, with commercial occupancy at 94.9% and multifamily net rents up 8%. Observation Deck NOI fell sharply due to lower international tourism, prompting a cautious FFO outlook of $0.75-$0.79 for 2026.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-30
First quarter results showed solid leasing, strong balance sheet management, and successful capital recycling into high-growth retail assets. Office and multifamily segments delivered robust performance, while observatory results were seasonally light but resilient.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-18
Full-year core FFO reached $0.87 per share, driven by strong leasing, portfolio transformation to 100% NYC assets, and robust Observatory performance. 2026 guidance anticipates stable FFO, continued high occupancy, and lower G&A, with capital flexibility for growth.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-30
FFO exceeded consensus and 2025 guidance was reaffirmed, with strong leasing momentum and 93%+ office occupancy. Multifamily and retail segments delivered robust growth, and a $175M note issuance further strengthened liquidity. Market fundamentals in NYC remain highly favorable.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-24
Q2 saw robust office leasing, strong multifamily growth, and resilient retail performance, though Observatory NOI declined due to weather and lower international tourism. Guidance for 2025 was revised downward for Observatory NOI, but office and multifamily segments remain strong.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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