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Global-E Online Ltd.
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NASDAQ: GLBE Consumer Discretionary Consumer 🔎 Screen
🏹 Trader: 🚀 Stage 2 + Near High 📈 Stage 2 🎯 Near 52W High | BRS 84 Ready · stale View all →
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$7.0B
Market Cap
48.7
P/E
0.73
PEG
13.4%
ROCE
12.9%
ROE
0.03
D/E
14.3%
OPM
-3.8%
% from 52W High
66
α RS
🔍 GLBE is showing a multi-screen setup because it matches 10 of 39 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Consumer Discretionary in the Leading quadrant with the trail still strengthening, RS Rating is 66, and it has maintained a 35-day Near 52-Week High momentum persistence. The main caution: the Strong Profitability preset's Backtest win rate is only 47.1%. Net: Mixed signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG RS Rating Momentum Streaks Backtest
Sources
Conviction 10/39 · Consumer Discretionary in Leading quadrant · RS Rating 66 · Near 52-Week High streak: 35d · Backtest win rate 47.1%
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About

Global-E Online Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides direct-to-consumer cross-border e-commerce platform in Israel, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. Its platform enables international shoppers to buy online, and merchants to sell from and to worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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3-Statement Financial Model
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📊 MIXED Global-E Q1 GMV up 40% to $1.74B, revenue up 33% to $252M, EBITDA margin 19.9%.
Revenue & Profitability
Revenue was $252.1 million, up 33% year-over-year. Non-GAAP gross profit was $118.5 million at a 47% margin. Adjusted EBITDA was $50.2 million (19.9% margin), up 59% YoY. Non-GAAP net profit was $46.9 million ($0.27 per diluted share) and GAAP net profit was $30.4 million ($0.17 per diluted share). GMV grew 40% to $1.742 billion. Free cash flow used was $72.9 million, driven by seasonal working capital.
Outlook
Management sees strong consumer demand and healthy same-store sales above historical averages in Q1 and Q2, but expects normalization in the second half of the year. The company raised full-year 2026 guidance: GMV $8.53B-$8.88B, revenue $1.22B-$1.28B, adjusted EBITDA $264.5M-$289.5M (22.2% margin). Headwinds include the Middle East conflict (temporary ~1% GMV impact in Q1, now recovering) and diminishing FX tailwinds in H2.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include continued onboarding of new merchants (e.g., Gallery Dept., Fresh, Coperni, LVMH and Richemont brands), expansion with existing merchants (Alo Yoga entering new markets, FIGS, Stella McCartney), and the upcoming ramp of Shopify Managed Markets 2.0 in the second half of 2026. Additional drivers include duty drawback service expansion, Borderfree.com monetization (now >6% of sales for participating merchants), and AI-generated referral traffic.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in detail. The company mentioned reinvesting cash into growth and strategic acquisitions, and deploying AI tools to increase R&D efficiency without adding headcount. Free cash flow was negative in Q1 due to seasonal working capital, consistent with prior years. No specific CapEx guidance was provided.
Margins
Non-GAAP gross margin was 47% in Q1, up 150 bps YoY, driven by favorable mix and slightly higher service fee take rate. Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 19.9%, up 330 bps YoY. Management expects continued operating leverage and margin expansion, with full-year adjusted EBITDA margin guided to 22.2%. Service fee take rate is expected to remain stable around 6.8-6.9%, while fulfillment take rate may see minor declines due to multi-local mix.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include the ongoing conflict with Iran, which temporarily reduced volumes to Middle East and GCC countries (~5% of inbound GMV, partially recovered). FX volatility can impact GMV and revenue. Tariff changes (e.g., US tariff rationalization) and fuel surcharges from rising energy costs are monitored. The upcoming EU de minimis removal in July 2026 is expected to have a manageable impact (~5% duty on affected orders). Analysts also probed the pace of Shopify Managed Markets ramp and duty drawback adoption.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-12
Q2 2026 delivered record GMV and revenue growth, with adjusted EBITDA margin expansion and strong free cash flow. Full-year guidance was raised, reflecting robust merchant demand, successful Passport integration, and continued adoption of value-added services.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-13
Q1 2026 results exceeded guidance, with 40% GMV and 33% revenue growth year-over-year, driving an upward revision to full-year outlook. Operational efficiencies, new merchant launches, and AI-driven initiatives supported strong margins and profitability despite Middle East and FX headwinds.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-18
Record 2025 results exceeded guidance, with 35% GMV and 28% revenue growth, and first full year of GAAP profitability. 2026 outlook calls for 31%+ GMV and 29% revenue growth, with margin expansion driven by AI efficiencies and new offerings like Duty Drawback.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-19
Q3 2025 results exceeded guidance, with 33% GMV growth and strong profitability. Full-year outlook was raised across all metrics, supported by global merchant expansion, new value-added services, and robust cash generation. Share repurchases and further AI-driven innovation are planned.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-13
Q2 delivered strong growth above guidance, with GMV up 34% and revenue up 28% year-over-year, achieving GAAP profitability. Raised 2025 outlook, expanded partnerships, and enhanced offerings with ReturnGo acquisition, while maintaining resilience amid tariff uncertainties.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Information Sources:
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