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Lemonade, Inc.
NYSE: LMND Financials Insurance 🔎 Screen
$3.7B
Market Cap
P/E
PEG
-29.4%
ROCE
-29.4%
ROE
0.34
D/E
-18.5%
OPM
-48.6%
% from 52W High
40
α RS
🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for LMND including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
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By Category
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About

Lemonade, Inc. provides various insurance products in the United States, Europe, and the United Kingdom. The company provides renters and homeowners, building, car, pet, and life insurance products, as well as landlord insurance products. It also offers insurance for stolen or damaged property, and personal liability that protects its customers if they are responsible for an accident or damage to another person or their property. In addition, it operates as an agent for other insurance companies. The company was formerly known as Lemonade Group, Inc. Lemonade, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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📊 MIXED Lemonade Q1 2026: IFP $1.33B (+32%), revenue up 71%, EBITDA loss narrows 64%.
Revenue & Profitability
Revenue was $258 million, up 71% year-over-year. Net loss was $36 million ($0.47 per share), compared to a loss of $62 million ($0.86 per share) in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $17 million from $47 million. Gross profit surged 159% to $100 million. Adjusted free cash flow was positive $17 million, the fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted free cash flow. IFP growth was 32%, customer growth 23%, and premium per customer grew 7%.
Outlook
Management highlighted an 'unlimited TAM' and expressed confidence in continued growth acceleration, expecting Q4 2026 to be an EBITDA-positive full quarter and full year 2027 to be EBITDA positive. They see tailwinds from growing cross-sell adoption, expanding car insurance, and the emerging autonomous vehicle market. No specific macro headwinds were cited.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include pet insurance (largest line, $500M IFP), car insurance (growing 60% year-over-year, from 9% a year ago), and cross-sells (near doubling year-over-year). Diversified distribution channels (direct, partners like Chewy, Homesite) and expanding autonomous vehicle insurance drive new customer acquisition. For 2026, full-year growth spend is expected at $235 million, with Q2 growth spend stepping up 12% versus Q1.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
Gross margin (adjusted) was 39% in Q1, up from 20% of GEP a year ago. The loss ratio (gross) was 62%, including 5% catastrophe impact, while the LAE ratio was 6%, considered best-in-class. Operating expenses excluding loss and LAE grew 25% versus IFP growth of 32%, demonstrating operating leverage. Headcount increased only 2% year-over-year. Stock-based compensation guidance was raised to $95 million for the full year 2026.
Key Risks
Key risks included the impact of the 'clean the book' non-renewal initiative in homeowners, which temporarily depressed annual dollar retention (85%, flat sequentially), and catastrophe exposure (5% CAT impact in Q1 from winter storms). The reinsurance renewal in July could affect premium retention and margins. Stock-based compensation increased due to multi-year founder grants. No other macroeconomic or competitive risks were explicitly flagged.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-29
Q2 2026 saw accelerating growth with IFP up 32.5% and revenue up 79% year-over-year, while gross profit rose 76% and adjusted EBITDA loss improved 54%. Technology-driven efficiency led to a record 5% LAE ratio, and guidance was raised for gross earned premium and revenue.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-29
In-force premium grew 32% year-over-year to $1.33B, with revenue up 71% and gross profit up 159%. Pet insurance became the largest segment, and car insurance sales surged, while adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed 64%. Full-year guidance was raised, with positive EBITDA expected in Q4.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-19
Q4 saw record growth with in-force premium up 31% and revenue up 53% year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $5 million. Autonomous Car insurance launched, and guidance calls for continued 30%+ growth and EBITDA profitability by 2027.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-05
In force premium and revenue grew 30% and 42% year-over-year, respectively, with gross profit more than doubling and loss ratios at record lows. Car and European segments led growth, while AI-driven efficiency and positive cash flow support raised guidance and continued profitability improvements.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-05
Q2 saw 29% IFP growth, a 12-point drop in Gross Loss Ratio, and over 100% gross profit growth. Car and European segments outperformed, while a reinsurance shift will boost revenue retention. Full-year guidance and positive EBITDA timeline remain unchanged.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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