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McDonald's Corporation
Dow 30 S&P 500
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$180.4B
Market Cap
25.6
P/E
3.46
PEG
18.3%
ROCE
N/M
ROE
-30.61
D/E
46.1%
OPM
-23.0%
% from 52W High
28
α RS
🔍 MCD is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 10 of 39 tracked screener presets, it's hugging the 21 EMA, and accumulation_zone preset's Backtest win rate is 55.1% over 90 days. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction Technicals Backtest
Sources
Conviction 10/39 · hugging 21 EMA · Backtest win rate 55.1%
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for MCD including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald’s brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding MCD
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Andreas Halvorsen Viking Global Investors 3.63M $1.1B 3.15% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 542.8K $168.7M 0.26% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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Mixed quarter Investor Presentation One-Pager? Q2 2026
Revenue
$7.1B
+4% YoY (2% cc)
Operating Income
$3.3B
+3% YoY
Operating Margin
47.0%
-0.2pp YoY
Net Income
$2.4B
+5% YoY
What Went Right
  • Global comparable sales grew +1.3% with all segments positive; IOM +1.5% led by Germany, Australia, and U.K., and IDL +1.9%.
  • Systemwide sales grew 4% in constant currency to ~$37B, and loyalty base reached nearly 220M active users.
  • New beverage platform beat expectations in lead markets; U.S. beverage sales ahead of plan with higher guest checks and food attachment.
What to Watch
  • U.S. comps slowed to +0.8%, below expectations; only ~60-65% of franchisees executed the EDAP pricing architecture, and removing digital offers/Buy One Add One drove about two-thirds of the traffic shortfall.
  • FIFA campaign underperformed; too many deployments overwhelmed restaurant teams, pushing service times up and satisfaction scores down.
  • U.S. comps were slightly negative in July, and the 50,000-restaurant target was pushed from 2027 to 2028; FY FX tailwind was cut to ~$0.15 from $0.20-$0.30.
Management Guidance
  • No explicit Q3 revenue guidance; management expects IOM and IDL comps to accelerate sequentially in Q3 on a one-year and two-year stack basis.
  • U.S. comps were slightly negative in July as execution issues extended into early Q3.
  • Full-year 2026 FX translation now expected to add ~$0.15 to adjusted EPS, down from prior estimate of $0.20-$0.30.
  • G&A targeted at ~2.2% of systemwide sales for full-year 2026; expects G&A percent to decline beginning in 2027.
  • On track to open ~2,600 gross restaurants in 2026; 50,000-restaurant milestone now expected in 2028.
Investor Lens
The long-term growth story remains supported by ~220M loyalty users, an early beverage platform beat, and solid international performance across IOM and IDL. Near-term the thesis is weaker: U.S. execution missteps, a negative July comp, and the delayed 50,000-restaurant target point to slower momentum. The appointment of Skye Anderson plus operational simplification, restored digital offers, and marketing reallocation should help, but recovery timing is uncertain. Net, the case is mixed with U.S. baseline traffic recovery as the key swing factor.
From investor presentation · AI-generated analysis · Not investment advice
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📊 MIXED Global comps +1.3%, but U.S. execution issues cloud Q2.
Revenue
Consolidated revenue rose 4% YoY to $7.10B (2% in constant currency), with global systemwide sales up 4% in constant currency to ~$37B. Comps were positive across all segments: U.S. +0.8%, IOM +1.5%, IDL +1.9%.
Profitability
Reported net income was $2.36B, up 5% YoY, and GAAP diluted EPS was $3.32 versus $3.14. Adjusted EPS was $3.38, up 5% in constant currency, including a $0.03 FX benefit; operating income rose 3% to $3.34B.
Margins
Q2 reported operating margin was approximately 47.0% (operating income of $3.34B on revenue of $7.10B), versus ~47.2% a year ago. Year-to-date adjusted operating margin was 46.9%, with higher sales-driven franchised margins partly offset by higher SG&A; G&A remained on track at ~2.2% of systemwide sales.
Balance Sheet
No explicit balance sheet metrics such as cash, debt, or free cash flow were disclosed; Q2 restaurant margins generated more than $4B. Management reiterated disciplined capital allocation to new restaurants and continued refranchising.
Key Risks
Management flagged inconsistent U.S. execution across franchisees—EDAP pricing adherence was only 60-65%, and removing digital offers/BOAO hurt loyalty traffic. Near-term U.S. comps were slightly negative in July; China's macro environment remains challenging, France remains below expectations, and the 50,000-restaurant milestone was pushed from 2027 to 2028 due to inflation and consumer pressure.
Outlook
FY 2026 FX translation is now expected to add ~$0.15 to adjusted EPS, down from $0.20-$0.30. IOM and IDL comps are expected to accelerate sequentially in Q3, while U.S. actions aim to rebuild baseline traffic and exit 2026 stronger.
Generated by AI · Q2 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-04
Systemwide sales grew 4% in Q2, with global comparable sales up 1.3% and U.S. comps rising 0.8% amid execution challenges. Adjusted EPS increased 5% year-over-year, and new beverage launches outperformed expectations. U.S. operational improvements and marketing adjustments are underway.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-07
Global comparable sales rose 3.8% year-over-year, driven by disciplined execution in value, marketing, and menu innovation, with strong results in the U.S., U.K., Germany, and Australia. Despite inflationary pressures and a challenging macro environment, full-year guidance is reaffirmed and new product launches are expected to sustain momentum.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-11
System-wide sales grew 5.5% in 2025, with strong comp sales and accelerated new restaurant openings. Adjusted operating margin reached 46.9%, and the loyalty program nearly doubled active users. 2026 guidance includes higher CapEx, continued margin expansion, and robust innovation.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-05
Global comparable sales rose over 3.5% year-over-year, with strong international performance and continued U.S. growth driven by value initiatives and menu innovation. Margins remain pressured by inflation, especially in beef, but digital engagement and disciplined capital allocation support long-term growth.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-06
Global sales and guest counts grew, led by strong value platforms and menu innovation, despite persistent industry headwinds and inflation. U.S. and international markets saw positive comp sales, with technology and digital engagement driving future growth.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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