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Nexa Resources S.A.
NYSE: NEXA Materials Metals 🔎 Screen
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$1.7B
Market Cap
8.9
P/E
9.18
PEG
11.5%
ROCE
19.0%
ROE
1.42
D/E
13.9%
OPM
-20.6%
% from 52W High
93
α RS
🔍 NEXA is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 3 of 39 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Industrials in the Improving quadrant with the trail still strengthening, and RS Rating is 93 (top decile vs market). Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG RS Rating
Sources
Conviction 3/39 · Industrials in Improving quadrant · RS Rating 93
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for NEXA including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
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By Category
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About

Nexa Resources S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the zinc mining and smelting business worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Mining and Smelting. It produces metallic zinc, zamac, gold, sulfuric acid and zinc oxide, as well as by-products, such as sulfuric acid, silver concentrate, copper cement, copper sulfate, lead concentrate, lead-silver concentrate, and other metallurgical by-products. The Company owns and operates three polymetallic mines in Peru and two polymetallic mines in Brazil. The company owns and operates three polymetallic mines in Peru and two polymetallic mines in Brazil; zinc smelter in Peru and two zinc smelters in Brazil. The company was formerly known as VM Holding S.A. and changed its name to Nexa Resources S.A. in September 2017. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Nexa Resources S.A. is a subsidiary of Votorantim S.A.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific ↑ Improving 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Nexa Resources reported $283M adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026 with 18% zinc output growth
Revenue & Profitability
Net revenues were $888 million, up 42% year-over-year. Net income was $118 million ($0.67 per share). Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $283 million. Net leverage stood at 1.59x, down from 2.09x a year ago.
Outlook
Management expects zinc prices to remain supported by concentrate tightness, low LME inventories, and resilient galvanizing demand. Silver reached multi-year highs during the quarter, supported by structural deficits and industrial demand from solar PV, EVs, AI, and data centers. Copper fundamentals are also tight with ongoing concentrate scarcity.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers include Aripuanã achieving a quarterly production record of 13,000 tons of zinc and the fourth tailings filter commissioning. The Cerro Pasco integration phase 1 is on schedule to be completed in Q4 2026. Exploration drilling program increased to nearly 67,000 meters, up 12% from the original plan. The company also evaluates accretive M&A in mining-friendly jurisdictions.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Total CapEx guidance for 2026 is $381 million, with $72 million invested in Q1 (19% of guidance). Sustaining activities and mine development were the main components. Phase 1 of Cerro Pasco integration received $8 million in Q1 against a full-year guidance of $31 million. Exploration guidance is $86 million.
Margins
Overall adjusted EBITDA margin was 31.8%. Mining segment EBITDA margin reached 50% ($231 million on $460 million revenue). Smelting segment margin was 8% ($51 million on $609 million revenue). Mining cash cost net of by-products was negative $0.76 per pound, while smelting cash cost was $1.40 per pound. Smelting margins are under pressure from low treatment charges, partially offset by strong by-product credits.
Key Risks
Risks include operational disruptions such as heavy rainfall at Cerro Lindo, an illegal community blockade at Atacocha, and shaft constraints at El Porvenir. Smelting margins face structural pressure from low TCs. Political uncertainty in Peru with upcoming elections could impact operations, but management believes good community relations mitigate this.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-06
Adjusted EBITDA surged 78% year-over-year to $286 million, with net income at $98 million and net leverage down to 1.4x. Operational improvements, higher metal prices, and recovery from setbacks drove results, while guidance and capital allocation priorities remain unchanged.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-07
Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled year-over-year to $283 million, driven by higher metal prices, improved operations, and record production at Aripuanã. Net leverage fell to 1.59x, and free cash flow is expected to strengthen as working capital unwinds.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-27
Q4 and full-year 2025 saw strong operational and financial results, with record zinc production, improved margins, and disciplined cost management. Net leverage improved to 1.7x, and major projects like Aripuanã and Cerro Pasco are progressing on schedule.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-31
Q3 2025 saw strong operational and financial results, with higher mining and smelting output, improved cash flow, and progress on key projects like Aripuanã and Cerro Pasco. Liquidity and leverage improved, while disciplined capital allocation and ESG leadership remain priorities.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-01
Q2 2025 saw a 13% sequential revenue increase and 28% higher adjusted EBITDA, driven by improved sales and by-product prices, despite operational challenges at Aripuanã and Vazante. Strategic projects and exploration advanced, with financial flexibility enhanced through successful liability management.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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