Loading…
Toll Brothers, Inc.
$13.1B
Market Cap
10.0
P/E
1.61
PEG
13.8%
ROCE
16.9%
ROE
0.32
D/E
15.7%
OPM
-20.0%
% from 52W High
30
α RS
🔍 TOL is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 6 of 39 tracked screener presets, it's within 20% of its 52-week high, and fcf_machines preset's Backtest win rate is 57.2% over 90 days. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction 52W High Backtest
Sources
Conviction 6/39 · 20% from 52W high · Backtest win rate 57.2%
⚖️ Compare 🔒 Generate Report 🔒 Research Packet 📚 Guides
🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for TOL including FX impact
🌏
Click 🌏 Returns tab to load data
📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, rents apartments and student housing communities. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
Loading…
⭐ Superinvestors Holding TOL
View All Superinvestors →
Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 279.6K $38.2M 0.05% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 173.0K $23.6M 0.04% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

🔒
Premium Feature
AI-generated 10-section company profile — business model, financials, strengths, risks & management quality
Upgrade to Premium
Already a member? Log in
📐
3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
Open Model →
🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Toll Brothers beats Q2 guidance with $2.5B revenue, $2.72 EPS
Revenue & Profitability
Home building revenue in Q2 was $2.5 billion, approximately $110 million above the midpoint of guidance. Net income was $260.6 million, or $2.72 per diluted share, an $0.18 beat versus the midpoint. Orders rose 7% in units and 8% in dollars year-over-year. The company repurchased $175 million of stock in Q2, bringing year-to-date repurchases to approximately $226 million.
Outlook
Management described the demand environment as challenging but noted that their luxury segment is more resilient. They raised full-year guidance across all key home building metrics, including deliveries (10,400-10,700 homes) and average delivered price ($985,000-$1,000,000). The company expects to end fiscal 2026 with 480-490 selling communities, an 8-10% increase, and plans similar community count growth in fiscal 2027.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include expanding geographies (e.g., entering Northwest Arkansas via the Buffington Homes acquisition), increasing community count at 8-10% annually, and focusing on the higher-margin luxury move-up segment. Florida and Austin were noted as bright spots, with strong demand in many markets including Boston to South Carolina, Boise, Las Vegas, and Austin.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
Adjusted gross margin in Q2 was 26.2%, 70 basis points above guidance. Full-year adjusted gross margin guidance was raised by 10 basis points to 26.1%. SG&A improved to 10.3% in Q2 (40 bps beat) and full-year guidance was improved to 10.1%. Management discussed mix-driven margin dynamics between Q3 (projected 25.25%) and Q4 (projected ~26.3%), citing seasonality in spec home deliveries.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include a challenging demand environment tied to consumer confidence and interest rates, though the luxury segment is less affected. Cancellation rates remain low (2.9% of backlog, 4.8% of signed contracts). Tariff impacts have been minimal so far, and lumber costs have risen but were offset by flat overall build costs.
Generated by AI · Q2 2026 results · Not investment advice
🔒
Free Account Required

Create a free Finmagine account to access Finmagine™ Scorecard.

See how this company scores across 5 dimensions — Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Position, Management Quality, and Valuation — powered by 30+ computed ratios.

Create Free AccountLog In
🔒
Premium Feature

Upgrade to Finmagine Premium to unlock Ask AI.

Get 25 expert AI analysis templates — Business KPIs, Comprehensive, Forensic Governance, Peer Comparison, Risk-Reward, Full Research Report, IPO Decoder, Red Flag Detector, and more — ready to paste into ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, or Perplexity.

Upgrade to PremiumCreate Free Account
🔒
Premium Feature

Upgrade to Finmagine Premium to unlock Peer Comparison.

Compare this company side-by-side against its sector peers with financial metrics, ratio benchmarking, and relative performance across all key dimensions.

Upgrade to PremiumCreate Free Account
✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
🔍
🔎 See cross-company document search → ?
📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-05-20
Q2 results exceeded guidance with strong margins and robust luxury segment performance. Full-year guidance was raised for deliveries, pricing, and margins, supported by resilient demand and operational efficiency. Liquidity and capital allocation remain strong, with continued investment in growth and share repurchases.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-02-18
Q1 results exceeded guidance with higher revenue, margins, and EPS, driven by strong luxury segment performance and disciplined spec/build-to-order mix. Guidance for FY26 remains robust, with continued community growth and capital efficiency, despite modest demand gains and regional variability.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2025-12-09
Delivered record home sales and strong margins in fiscal 2025, with robust cash flow and disciplined capital allocation. Fiscal 2026 guidance is conservative, reflecting a cautious outlook amid affordability pressures, but expects continued growth in community count and stable margins.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-08-20
Record Q3 revenues and earnings were driven by higher average sales prices and strong margins, despite a softer market and increased incentives. Guidance for FY25 remains robust, with continued community growth, disciplined capital allocation, and a CFO transition planned.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-05-21
Record Q2 revenue and earnings exceeded guidance, driven by strong luxury home sales and disciplined cost control. Despite softer demand and increased incentives, full-year guidance is reaffirmed, with robust margins, healthy cash flow, and increased share repurchase plans.
🔒
Premium Feature

Upgrade to Finmagine Premium to unlock Catalyst Timeline.

Every result, order win, insider trade, ECS update, earnings-call, and SEC announcement for this company — in one chronological lane.

Upgrade to PremiumCreate Free Account
🔒
Premium Feature

Upgrade to Finmagine Premium to unlock Full Report.

Read the complete Finmagine™ investment research report — comprehensive fundamental analysis, business model assessment, competitive positioning, and investment recommendation.

Upgrade to PremiumCreate Free Account

📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

🎯
Discover Our Proven Investment Framework Learn how we analyze and rank stocks using advanced quantitative models, multi-dimensional scoring systems, and dynamic discriminatory ranking techniques that have guided successful investment decisions across market cycles.
📊 Explore The Finmagine™ Methodology

A comprehensive, bias-free framework for analyzing and ranking stocks by Financial Strength, Growth Potential, Competitive Edge, Management Quality, and Value.

Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

Not SEC-Registered:
Finmagine is not registered as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or any state securities authority. Nothing on this platform constitutes investment advice as defined under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940.

Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

Forward-Looking Statements:
This analysis may contain forward-looking statements, forecasts, or projections that are inherently subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Finmagine does not undertake any obligation to update such statements in the future.

Limitation of Liability:
The content is provided "as is" without any warranties, express or implied. Finmagine expressly disclaims any liability for errors, omissions, or any losses incurred as a result of reliance on the information provided. Readers assume full responsibility for their investment decisions.