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Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
$11.9B
Market Cap
27.4
P/E
2.71
PEG
19.0%
ROCE
29.0%
ROE
0.66
D/E
8.1%
OPM
-15.1%
% from 52W High
63
α RS
🔍 TXRH is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 3 of 39 tracked screener presets, RS Rating is 63, and it's within 15.1% of its 52-week high. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RS Rating 52W High
Sources
Conviction 3/39 · RS Rating 63 · 15.1% from 52W high
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About

Texas Roadhouse, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through Texas Roadhouse, Bubba’s 33, and Others segments. The company’s restaurants offer seasoned and aged steaks, ribs, seafood, chicken, pork chops, pulled pork, and vegetable plates, as well as an assortment of hamburgers, salads, and sandwiches; and pizza, wings, and various appetizers and dinner entrées. The company also operates and franchises restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, and Jaggers brands. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.

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📊 MIXED Texas Roadhouse reports 7.1% same-store sales growth and 4.5% traffic in Q1 2026.
Revenue & Profitability
Revenue grew 12.8% to over $1.6 billion. Same-store sales increased 7.1%, driven by 4.5% traffic growth and a 2.6% average check increase. Diluted earnings per share were $1.87, up 9.6% year-over-year. Restaurant margin dollars rose 10.5% to $264 million.
Outlook
Management sees stable consumer demand and healthy traffic trends, with no significant changes in consumer behavior despite macroeconomic uncertainty. They note that beef costs remain elevated but expect relief over time. The company reduced its full-year 2026 commodity inflation guidance from 7% to 6%-7%, with Q2 expected to be the peak at 7%-8%.
Growth Drivers
The company expects approximately 35 company-owned openings in 2026, with 4 opened in Q1. Franchise partners plan 3 additional Jaggers and up to 6 international Texas Roadhouse openings. To-go business continues to grow, aided by technology and operational execution. Bubba's 33 is seen as having long-term potential beyond 200 units.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance remains unchanged at approximately $400 million. In Q1, the company spent $158 million on capex, plus $72 million for the acquisition of five California franchise restaurants. Investments include digital kitchen technologies and handheld tablets for servers.
Margins
Restaurant margin as a percentage of total sales decreased 36 basis points to 16.3% due to 6.2% commodity inflation. Labor as a percentage of sales improved 46 basis points to 32.9%, with labor hours growing at approximately 35% of traffic growth. Other operating costs leveraged 36 basis points. Margin dollars per store week increased 4.5% year-over-year.
Key Risks
Key risks include commodity inflation, particularly beef, which is expected to remain elevated in Q2. Labor inflation is guided at 3%-4%. Weather had a net negative impact of 80 basis points on Q1 comparable sales. Management does not see a correlation between gas prices and traffic. The company's ability to maintain pricing discipline and operational execution is critical.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-06
Second quarter revenue grew 11.1% year-over-year, with same-store sales up 6.2% and robust traffic gains. Margin pressure from commodity inflation was partially offset by pricing and operational efficiencies. The company maintains a strong development pipeline and reduced its full-year commodity inflation outlook to 5%.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-07
First quarter revenue grew 12.8% to over $1.6 billion, with same-store sales up 7.1% and strong traffic growth. Commodity inflation guidance was reduced to 6%-7% for 2026, with Q2 expected to be the peak. Margin dollars and to-go sales both increased year-over-year.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-19
Revenue reached nearly $5.9B in 2025, with 4.9% same-store sales growth and strong traffic gains. Despite commodity and labor cost pressures, robust cash flow funded expansion, acquisitions, and increased shareholder returns. 2026 guidance anticipates continued inflation headwinds and steady unit growth.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-06
Record Q3 revenue and strong same-store sales growth were driven by robust consumer demand and operational execution. Commodity and labor inflation remain key challenges, but guidance for 2026 anticipates continued expansion, disciplined capital allocation, and further technology upgrades.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-07
Record Q2 revenue surpassed $1.5B, driven by 5.8% same-store sales growth and robust traffic. Beef inflation remains a key headwind, but expansion continues with new openings and franchise acquisitions. Off-premise and digital initiatives support ongoing top-line momentum.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
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Information Sources:
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